CrimeMetric

Crime in Fredericktown, Missouri

Major crime in Fredericktown is 11% below the U.S. rate per resident: 58% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
90
11% below the U.S. rate
18% below the Missouri rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
42
58% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Missouri rate
down 4.8% in a year
Property crimes
100
about the U.S. rate
about the Missouri rate
down 7.8% in a year
Social disorder
55
45% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Missouri rate
down 6.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Fredericktown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Fredericktown

The middle half of Fredericktown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 43 and 119; the typical (median) resident's is 114.

Map of Fredericktown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5043.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20057.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm101
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am75
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm110
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am69
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%MO -11.3%-13.4%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-4.8%MO -4.6%+0.7%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-7.8%MO -13.0%-14.7%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-6.6%MO -6.5%-6.6%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Fredericktown against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

668 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Fredericktown; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Covedale, OH5,765132
Hamilton, MT5,766132
Center, TX5,764119
Fredericktown, MO5,76090
Medina, NY5,76359

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Fredericktown has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Farmington (16 mi), is 1.5 times Fredericktown's rate.

Desloge25 mi177
Farmington16 mi136
Park Hills23 mi95
Fredericktown90
Perryville26 mi57
Jackson37 mi53

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Fredericktown

What are the most common crimes in Fredericktown?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 48 a year), other larceny (about 21 a year) and burglary (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Fredericktown's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Fredericktown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,760. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Fredericktown, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/fredericktown

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100