CrimeMetric

Crime in Grain Valley, Missouri

Major crime in Grain Valley is 50% below the U.S. rate per resident: 64% lower for persons crimes and 47% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
50
50% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Missouri rate
down 9.2% in a year
Persons crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Missouri rate
down 6.0% in a year
Property crimes
53
47% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Missouri rate
down 9.6% in a year
Social disorder
90
10% below the U.S. rate
14% below the Missouri rate
down 5.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Grain Valley

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 31% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Grain Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Grain Valley

The middle half of Grain Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 23 and 76; the typical (median) resident's is 28. The citywide figure (50) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Grain Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5069.3%
  • 50–10019.9%
  • 100–20010.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm46
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm41
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am50
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.2% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.2%MO -11.3%-7.0%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-6.0%MO -4.6%+4.2%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-9.6%MO -13.0%-8.7%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-5.1%MO -6.5%+1.1%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Grain Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,500 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Grain Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Bellaire, TX17,846162
Norcross, GA17,84797
Clive, IA17,88562
Calera, AL17,89153
Grain Valley, MO17,87950

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Grain Valley has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Blue Springs (3 mi), is 1.7 times Grain Valley's rate.

Independence11 mi197
Raytown13 mi169
Sugar Creek14 mi142
Lee's Summit11 mi108
Oak Grove5 mi83
Buckner8 mi74
Grain Valley50
Greenwood14 mi22

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Grain Valley

What are the most common crimes in Grain Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 52 a year), theft from vehicle (about 35 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 22 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 31% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Grain Valley's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Grain Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 12.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 17,879. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Grain Valley, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/grain-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100