CrimeMetric

Crime in Jefferson City, Missouri

Major crime in Jefferson City is about the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
98
about the U.S. rate
11% below the Missouri rate
down 13.8% in a year
Persons crimes
95
about the U.S. rate
28% below the Missouri rate
down 8.8% in a year
Property crimes
98
about the U.S. rate
6% below the Missouri rate
down 14.8% in a year
Social disorder
108
8% above the U.S. rate
about the Missouri rate
down 9.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Jefferson City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Jefferson City

The middle half of Jefferson City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 107; the typical (median) resident's is 63. The citywide figure (98) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Jefferson City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5034.4%
  • 50–10036.8%
  • 100–20016.6%
  • 200–4008.5%
  • 400+3.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm109
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am89
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm100
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am82
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.8% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.8%MO -11.3%-13.2%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-8.8%MO -4.6%-0.3%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-14.8%MO -13.0%-15.9%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-9.5%MO -6.5%-6.9%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Jefferson City against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

324 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Jefferson City; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Cerritos, CA45,891229
Hobbs, NM45,867166
Jefferson City, MO45,87698
Lathrop, CA45,96785
Salem, MA45,87364

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Jefferson City has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Holts Summit (6 mi), is 74% below Jefferson City's rate.

Osage Beach39 mi134
Columbia27 mi112
Boonville40 mi109
Versailles36 mi106
Jefferson City98
California21 mi36
Fulton24 mi34
Eldon26 mi27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Jefferson City

What are the most common crimes in Jefferson City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 436 a year), aggravated assault (about 88 a year) and shoplifting (about 73 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Jefferson City's figures add up its 40 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Jefferson City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 9.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 45,876. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Jefferson City, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/jefferson-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100