CrimeMetric

Crime in Warrenton, Missouri

Major crime in Warrenton is 25% below the U.S. rate per resident: 28% lower for persons crimes and 24% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
76
25% below the U.S. rate
31% below the Missouri rate
down 7.5% in a year
Persons crimes
72
28% below the U.S. rate
46% below the Missouri rate
down 4.0% in a year
Property crimes
76
24% below the U.S. rate
27% below the Missouri rate
down 8.2% in a year
Social disorder
79
21% below the U.S. rate
24% below the Missouri rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Warrenton

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 47% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Warrenton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Warrenton

The middle half of Warrenton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 27 and 121; the typical (median) resident's is 89.

Map of Warrenton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5042.6%
  • 50–10024.5%
  • 100–20033.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm85
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am61
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm89
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.5%MO -11.3%-5.8%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-4.0%MO -4.6%+7.5%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-8.2%MO -13.0%-8.6%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-5.7%MO -6.5%+1.2%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Warrenton against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,022 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Warrenton; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Timonium, MD10,841148
Warrenton, MO10,84676
Salem, OH10,83266
College, AK10,84455

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warrenton has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Wright City (7 mi), is 64% below Warrenton's rate.

Washington21 mi87
Warrenton76
Troy12 mi43
Hermann20 mi42
Wentzville15 mi41
O'Fallon22 mi34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Warrenton

What are the most common crimes in Warrenton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 51 a year), other larceny (about 37 a year) and aggravated assault (about 20 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 47% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warrenton's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warrenton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,846. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warrenton, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/warrenton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100