CrimeMetric

Crime in Natchez, Mississippi

Major crime in Natchez is 49% below the U.S. rate per resident: 22% lower for persons crimes and 55% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
51
49% below the U.S. rate
32% below the Mississippi rate
down 8.3% in a year
Persons crimes
78
22% below the U.S. rate
23% above the Mississippi rate
down 3.8% in a year
Property crimes
45
55% below the U.S. rate
42% below the Mississippi rate
down 9.9% in a year
Social disorder
108
8% above the U.S. rate
about the Mississippi rate
down 5.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Natchez

Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 2.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Natchez for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Natchez

The middle half of Natchez residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 28 and 63; the typical (median) resident's is 34. The citywide figure (51) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Natchez, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5064.0%
  • 50–10027.5%
  • 100–2008.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm61
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm56
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am42
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across Mississippi it fell 8.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.3%MS -8.3%-9.0%MS -15.7%
Persons crimes-3.8%MS -9.6%+3.2%MS -3.9%
Property crimes-9.9%MS -8.1%-13.6%MS -17.9%
Social disorder-5.4%MS -8.3%-4.9%MS -9.9%

Change in expected crimes, with Mississippi as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Natchez against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,470 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Natchez; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Pierre, SD14,337139
Speedway, IN14,306115
Harrison, AR14,33883
Powell, TN14,31961
Lovejoy, GA14,33456
Natchez, MS14,31851

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Natchez has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Vidalia (4 mi), is 3.0 times Natchez's rate.

McComb58 mi252
Brookhaven55 mi136
Ferriday, LA11 mi114
Natchez51

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Natchez

What are the most common crimes in Natchez?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 51 a year), aggravated assault (about 29 a year) and burglary (about 14 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 2.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Natchez's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Natchez has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 14,318. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Natchez, Mississippi." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ms/natchez

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100