CrimeMetric

Crime in Great Falls, Montana

Major crime in Great Falls is 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.5 times for persons crimes and 2.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
256
2.6 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Montana rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
151
1.5 times the U.S. rate
21% above the Montana rate
down 24.9% in a year
Property crimes
279
2.8 times the U.S. rate
2.8 times the Montana rate
up 4.7% in a year
Social disorder
135
35% above the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Montana rate
down 9.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Great Falls for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Great Falls

The middle half of Great Falls residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 82 and 230; the typical (median) resident's is 141. The citywide figure (256) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Great Falls, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–505.2%
  • 50–10024.4%
  • 100–20027.0%
  • 200–40033.1%
  • 400+10.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm280
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am232
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm275
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am220
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 0.5% in a year; across Montana it fell 8.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+0.5%MT -8.4%-14.7%MT -9.1%
Persons crimes-24.9%MT -10.7%-1.5%MT +3.0%
Property crimes+4.7%MT -7.7%-16.3%MT -12.4%
Social disorder-9.6%MT -8.4%-9.3%MT -4.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Montana as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Great Falls against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

9 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Great Falls; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Great Falls, MT62,682256
Utica, NY62,835198
Bozeman, MT62,601106
Gilroy, CA62,41186
Bristol, CT62,75737

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Great Falls has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Malmstrom AFB (4 mi), is 90% below Great Falls's rate.

Cut Bank92 mi421
Great Falls256
Helena72 mi179
Lewistown92 mi86
Shelby74 mi70
Conrad56 mi42

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Great Falls

What are the most common crimes in Great Falls?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 924 a year), shoplifting (about 799 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 435 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Great Falls's figures add up its 56 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Great Falls's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 47.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 62,682. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Great Falls, Montana." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mt/great-falls

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100