Crime in Grafton, North Dakota
Major crime in Grafton is 52% below the U.S. rate per resident: 50% lower for persons crimes and 52% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 16% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Grafton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in Grafton
Grafton is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 44; the middle half of residents live where it is between 43 and 66.
- 0–5069.3%
- 50–10030.7%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across North Dakota it fell 15.3%
Change in expected crimes, with North Dakota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Grafton against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents
1,048 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Grafton; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Grafton has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, East Grand Forks (38 mi), is 57% below Grafton's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Grafton
What are the most common crimes in Grafton?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 17 a year), aggravated assault (about 4 a year) and shoplifting (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 16% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Grafton's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Grafton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 3,932. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Grafton, North Dakota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nd/grafton
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- East Grand Forks, MN38 mi21
- Grand Forks39 mi103
- Crookston, MN58 mi53
- Thief River Falls, MN61 mi57
- Red Lake Falls, MN63 mi18
- Devils Lake70 mi106
- Roseau, MN81 mi65
- Valley City107 mi61