CrimeMetric

Crime in Holmdel, New Jersey

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Holmdel at 57% below the U.S. rate per resident: 90% lower for persons crimes and 50% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Holmdel's 10 census block groups for 17,545 residents. How New Jersey residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 79.1%, summary counts only for 14.7% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 6.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Holmdel:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Holmdel.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
7.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 43: 57% below the U.S. rate
45% below the New Jersey rate
down 8.3% in a year
Persons crimes
0.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 10: 90% below the U.S. rate
83% below the New Jersey rate
down 7.4% in a year
Property crimes
7.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 50: 50% below the U.S. rate
39% below the New Jersey rate
down 8.3% in a year
Social disorder
6.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 26: 74% below the U.S. rate
52% below the New Jersey rate
down 6.0% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Holmdel

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 22 and 53.

Map of Holmdel, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5071.1%
  • 50–10018.2%
  • 100–20010.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Holmdel is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm44
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm48
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am37
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across New Jersey it fell 10.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.3%NJ -10.2%-15.8%NJ -11.5%
Persons crimes-7.4%NJ -7.9%-6.2%NJ -1.4%
Property crimes-8.3%NJ -10.5%-16.2%NJ -13.1%
Social disorder-6.0%NJ -5.3%-6.6%NJ -4.7%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New Jersey in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Holmdel against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,656 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Holmdel's, and 364 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Johnstown, PA17,525217
Red Wing, MN17,53591
Glenmont, MD17,54286
Fairmont, WV17,52382
Badger, AK17,57047
Holmdel, NJ17,54543

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Holmdel's major-crime index is higher than 4, lower than 3 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Hazlet (3 mi), is 34% above Holmdel's rate.

Keyport4 mi69
Hazlet3 mi57
Aberdeen4 mi48
Holmdel43
Lincroft4 mi34

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Holmdel

Is Holmdel safe?

Holmdel's major-crime index is 43, 57% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 63% of the 364 other New Jersey places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 90% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 50% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Holmdel?

The model expects about 129 major crimes a year in Holmdel, about 7.4 per 1,000 residents, 57% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Holmdel?

Expected major crimes in Holmdel are down 8.3% from a year earlier; across New Jersey they're down 10.2%.

What are the most common crimes in Holmdel?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 47 a year), shoplifting (about 37 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 22 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Holmdel?

The model expects about 22 thefts from vehicles a year in Holmdel, 53% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Holmdel?

The model expects about 6 motor vehicle thefts a year in Holmdel, 80% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Holmdel safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 41 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 48 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Holmdel higher than the New Jersey average?

Holmdel's major-crime index is 43, 45% below the New Jersey rate per resident. New Jersey as a whole is 78, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Holmdel compare with Hazlet?

Hazlet, 3 miles away, has a major-crime index of 57, 34% above Holmdel's rate per resident. Holmdel's is 43.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Holmdel's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Holmdel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 17,545. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Holmdel, New Jersey." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/nj/holmdel

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100