Crime in Lower, New Jersey
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lower at 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 56% lower for persons crimes and 60% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.8% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lower. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 7.0 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.4 violent, 5.6 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lower is lower than 67% of the 364 other New Jersey places and 70% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower's 20 census block groups for 21,252 residents. How New Jersey residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 79.1%, summary counts only for 14.7% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 6.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lower
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 26 and 44.
- 0–5079.4%
- 50–10014.0%
- 100–2006.6%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lower
Intimidation stands out most, at 7.4 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekend daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.8% in a year; across New Jersey it fell 10.2%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New Jersey in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lower against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,723 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower's, and 343 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lower's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 6 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Villas (1 mi), is 15% below Lower's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lower
Is Lower safe?
Lower's major-crime index is 41, 59% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 67% of the 364 other New Jersey places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 56% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 60% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lower?
The model expects about 150 major crimes a year in Lower, about 7.0 per 1,000 residents, 59% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lower?
Expected major crimes in Lower are down 7.8% from a year earlier; across New Jersey they're down 10.2%.
What are the most common crimes in Lower?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 63 a year), aggravated assault (about 24 a year) and shoplifting (about 23 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lower?
The model expects about 10 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower, 83% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lower?
The model expects about 9 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower, 73% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lower safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 30 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 55 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lower higher than the New Jersey average?
Lower's major-crime index is 41, 47% below the New Jersey rate per resident. New Jersey as a whole is 78, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lower compare with Villas?
Villas, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 35, 15% below Lower's rate per resident. Lower's is 41.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lower has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 21,252. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower, New Jersey." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/nj/lower
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