CrimeMetric

Crime in Carlsbad, New Mexico

Major crime in Carlsbad is 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 2.1 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
201
2.0 times the U.S. rate
33% above the New Mexico rate
down 1.1% in a year
Persons crimes
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
16% below the New Mexico rate
down 2.6% in a year
Property crimes
208
2.1 times the U.S. rate
49% above the New Mexico rate
about flat in a year
Social disorder
155
1.5 times the U.S. rate
about the New Mexico rate
up 1.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Carlsbad

Crime by type

Other larceny and motor vehicle theft stand out most, at about 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carlsbad for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Carlsbad

The middle half of Carlsbad residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 96 and 258; the typical (median) resident's is 163. The citywide figure (201) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Carlsbad, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10035.0%
  • 100–20024.9%
  • 200–40030.1%
  • 400+10.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm204
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am205
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm183
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am199
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 1.1% in a year; across New Mexico it fell 12.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-1.1%NM -12.2%-12.0%NM -13.5%
Persons crimes-2.6%NM -2.6%+0.6%NM -2.2%
Property crimes-0.9%NM -14.7%-14.2%NM -17.0%
Social disorder+1.5%NM -7.5%-7.0%NM -8.2%

Change in expected crimes, with New Mexico as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carlsbad against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

48 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carlsbad; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carlsbad has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Artesia (31 mi), is 40% below Carlsbad's rate.

Carlsbad201
Roswell69 mi177
Hobbs67 mi166
North Hobbs69 mi128
Artesia31 mi120
Eunice62 mi111
Lovington63 mi81
Jal58 mi64
Kermit, TX78 mi51

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carlsbad

What are the most common crimes in Carlsbad?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 411 a year), theft from vehicle (about 200 a year) and shoplifting (about 160 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carlsbad's figures add up its 23 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carlsbad has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 78.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 33,876. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carlsbad, New Mexico." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nm/carlsbad

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100