CrimeMetric

Crime in South Valley, New Mexico

Major crime in South Valley is 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident: 3.4 times for persons crimes and 2.0 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
227
2.3 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the New Mexico rate
down 9.3% in a year
Persons crimes
344
3.4 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the New Mexico rate
up 1.9% in a year
Property crimes
202
2.0 times the U.S. rate
44% above the New Mexico rate
down 12.9% in a year
Social disorder
224
2.2 times the U.S. rate
48% above the New Mexico rate
down 5.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in South Valley

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 3.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in South Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across South Valley

The middle half of South Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 104 and 214; the typical (median) resident's is 144. The citywide figure (227) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of South Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10018.4%
  • 100–20054.5%
  • 200–40020.4%
  • 400+6.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm243
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am210
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm237
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am212
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.3% in a year; across New Mexico it fell 12.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.3%NM -12.2%-13.7%NM -13.5%
Persons crimes+1.9%NM -2.6%-3.1%NM -2.2%
Property crimes-12.9%NM -14.7%-17.8%NM -17.0%
Social disorder-5.6%NM -7.5%-9.8%NM -8.2%

Change in expected crimes, with New Mexico as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

South Valley against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

32 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than South Valley; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Holyoke, MA38,195254
South Valley, NM38,228227
Findlay, OH38,18278
La Porte, TX38,28670
Evans, GA38,13532

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

South Valley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Albuquerque (7 mi), is 13% above South Valley's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in South Valley

What are the most common crimes in South Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 344 a year), shoplifting (about 314 a year) and other larceny (about 308 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 3.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. South Valley's figures add up its 25 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • South Valley's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 78.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 38,228. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in South Valley, New Mexico." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nm/south-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100