CrimeMetric

Crime in Nellis AFB, Nevada

Major crime in Nellis AFB is 16% above the U.S. rate per resident: 37% higher for persons crimes and 11% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
116
16% above the U.S. rate
6% below the Nevada rate
down 11.7% in a year
Persons crimes
137
37% above the U.S. rate
22% above the Nevada rate
down 10.5% in a year
Property crimes
111
11% above the U.S. rate
12% below the Nevada rate
down 12.0% in a year
Social disorder
148
48% above the U.S. rate
8% above the Nevada rate
down 11.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Nellis AFB

Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Nellis AFB for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Nellis AFB

The middle half of Nellis AFB residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 162; the typical (median) resident's is 159.

Map of Nellis AFB, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5049.4%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20044.5%
  • 200–4006.1%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm136
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am96
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm122
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am96
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 11.7% in a year; across Nevada it fell 12.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.7%NV -12.1%-8.1%NV -9.6%
Persons crimes-10.5%NV -8.8%+2.2%NV +1.2%
Property crimes-12.0%NV -12.8%-10.8%NV -11.7%
Social disorder-11.5%NV -9.2%0.0%NV -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Nevada as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Nellis AFB against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

427 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Nellis AFB; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Nellis AFB has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sunrise Manor (5 mi), is 7% above Nellis AFB's rate.

Winchester9 mi338
Paradise11 mi319
Las Vegas10 mi141
Nellis AFB116
Henderson16 mi97
Whitney10 mi93

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Nellis AFB

What are the most common crimes in Nellis AFB?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 39 a year), motor vehicle theft (about 30 a year) and aggravated assault (about 26 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Nellis AFB's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Nellis AFB's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,621. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Nellis AFB, Nevada." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nv/nellis-afb

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100