CrimeMetric

Crime in Baldwin, New York

Major crime in Baldwin is 49% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 47% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
51
49% below the U.S. rate
52% below the New York rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
40
60% below the U.S. rate
64% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
53
47% below the U.S. rate
50% below the New York rate
down 7.5% in a year
Social disorder
38
62% below the U.S. rate
64% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Baldwin

Crime by type

Every crime type in Baldwin is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Baldwin for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Baldwin

The middle half of Baldwin residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 24 and 74; the typical (median) resident's is 39. The citywide figure (51) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Baldwin, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5067.2%
  • 50–10022.7%
  • 100–2007.5%
  • 200–4002.6%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm44
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am62
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm48
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%NY -8.7%-14.6%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.5%NY -7.0%-5.5%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.5%NY -9.0%-16.1%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.5%NY -5.2%-6.7%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Baldwin against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

712 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Baldwin; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Helena, MT35,176179
Oildale, CA35,318161
Gadsden, AL35,208126
Woodburn, OR35,377113
Oakville, MO35,20753
Baldwin, NY35,27051

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Baldwin has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Freeport (1 mi), is 5% above Baldwin's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Baldwin

What are the most common crimes in Baldwin?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 105 a year), shoplifting (about 90 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 49 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 20% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Baldwin's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Baldwin has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 35,270. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Baldwin, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/baldwin

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100