CrimeMetric

Crime in Baldwinsville, New York

Major crime in Baldwinsville is 15% below the U.S. rate per resident: 52% lower for persons crimes and 7% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
85
15% below the U.S. rate
20% below the New York rate
down 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
49
52% below the U.S. rate
56% below the New York rate
down 4.5% in a year
Property crimes
93
7% below the U.S. rate
12% below the New York rate
down 8.4% in a year
Social disorder
86
14% below the U.S. rate
17% below the New York rate
down 5.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 43% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Baldwinsville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Baldwinsville

The middle half of Baldwinsville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 45 and 79; the typical (median) resident's is 51. The citywide figure (85) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Baldwinsville, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5025.9%
  • 50–10050.4%
  • 100–20018.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+5.1%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm81
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am92
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm87
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am79
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.0%NY -8.7%-17.2%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-4.5%NY -7.0%-3.4%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-8.4%NY -9.0%-18.8%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.3%NY -5.2%-9.3%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Baldwinsville against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

731 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Baldwinsville; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

De Soto, MO7,534171
Nevada, IA7,512136
Baldwinsville, NY7,51985

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Baldwinsville has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Village Green (2 mi), is 68% below Baldwinsville's rate.

Lakeland7 mi257
Solvay9 mi118
Westvale10 mi90
Baldwinsville85
Fairmount9 mi49
Galeville9 mi46
Mattydale11 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Baldwinsville

What are the most common crimes in Baldwinsville?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 54 a year), shoplifting (about 21 a year) and burglary (about 12 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 43% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Baldwinsville's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Baldwinsville has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,519. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Baldwinsville, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/baldwinsville

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100