Crime in Carmel, New York
Major crime in Carmel is 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 81% lower for persons crimes and 56% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 8.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in Carmel
Every crime type in Carmel is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Carmel for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in Carmel
Carmel is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 32; the middle half of residents live where it is between 27 and 68.
- 0–5067.9%
- 50–10032.1%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 8.7% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Carmel against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,641 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carmel; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Carmel has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mahopac (4 mi), is 27% below Carmel's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Carmel
What are the most common crimes in Carmel?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 22 a year), shoplifting (about 16 a year) and aggravated assault (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 26% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carmel's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Carmel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 6,935. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carmel, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/carmel
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Mahopac4 mi29
- Lake Mohegan11 mi29
- Danbury, CT11 mi43
- Peekskill15 mi42
- Highland Falls15 mi35
- Beacon16 mi39
- Wappingers Falls18 mi61
- Croton-on-Hudson18 mi26