Crime in Chili, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Chili at 67% below the U.S. rate per resident: 85% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 28.0% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Chili. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 5.6 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.5 violent, 5.1 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Chili is lower than 74% of the 482 other New York places and 81% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Chili's 20 census block groups for 28,796 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Chili.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Chili
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 14 and 34.
- 0–5084.3%
- 50–1009.0%
- 100–2006.7%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Chili
Every crime type in Chili is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 28.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Chili against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
948 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Chili's, and 105 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Chili's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 6 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Town of Gates (4 mi), is 4.8 times Chili's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Chili
Is Chili safe?
Chili's major-crime index is 33, 67% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 74% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 85% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 63% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Chili?
The model expects about 161 major crimes a year in Chili, about 5.6 per 1,000 residents, 67% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Chili?
Expected major crimes in Chili are down 28.0% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Chili?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 51 a year), other larceny (about 49 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 18 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Chili?
The model expects about 17 thefts from vehicles a year in Chili, 78% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Chili?
The model expects about 18 motor vehicle thefts a year in Chili, 61% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Chili safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 30 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 36 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Chili higher than the New York average?
Chili's major-crime index is 33, 69% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Chili compare with Town of Gates?
Town of Gates, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 155, 4.8 times Chili's rate per resident. Chili's is 33.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Chili's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Chili has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 28,796. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Chili, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/chili
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