CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Success, New York

Major crime in Lake Success is about the U.S. rate per resident: 46% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
95
about the U.S. rate
11% below the New York rate
down 7.5% in a year
Persons crimes
54
46% below the U.S. rate
51% below the New York rate
down 6.3% in a year
Property crimes
104
about the U.S. rate
about the New York rate
down 7.6% in a year
Social disorder
50
51% below the U.S. rate
53% below the New York rate
down 5.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Success

Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 1.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Success for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Lake Success

Lake Success is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 120; the middle half of residents live where it is between 25 and 160.

Map of Lake Success, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5041.3%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20058.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm112
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am82
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm93
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am76
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.5%NY -8.7%-14.9%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-6.3%NY -7.0%-7.4%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.6%NY -9.0%-15.7%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.3%NY -5.2%-5.8%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Success against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

433 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Success; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Success has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, University Gardens (1 mi), is 14% below Lake Success's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Success

What are the most common crimes in Lake Success?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 18 a year), shoplifting (about 12 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Success's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Success has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 2,867. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Success, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/lake-success

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100