Crime in Middletown, New York
Major crime in Middletown is 25% below the U.S. rate per resident: 13% lower for persons crimes and 27% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 4.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations, intimidation and other larceny stand out most, at about 41% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Middletown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Middletown
The middle half of Middletown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 86; the typical (median) resident's is 61. The citywide figure (75) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5033.8%
- 50–10052.2%
- 100–2007.0%
- 200–4007.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 4.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Middletown against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
492 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middletown; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Middletown has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mechanicstown (1 mi), is 14% below Middletown's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Middletown
What are the most common crimes in Middletown?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 211 a year), aggravated assault (about 65 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 36 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 41% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middletown's figures add up its 22 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Middletown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 13.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 30,421. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middletown, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/middletown
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Mechanicstown1 mi65
- Goshen6 mi24
- Chester10 mi58
- Warwick14 mi91
- Walden14 mi27
- Port Jervis15 mi99
- Monroe15 mi58
- Woodbury17 mi234