CrimeMetric

Crime in North Castle, New York

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in North Castle at 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.1% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across North Castle's 8 census block groups for 12,438 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for North Castle:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside North Castle.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
6.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 39: 61% below the U.S. rate
63% below the New York rate
down 8.1% in a year
Persons crimes
0.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 24: 76% below the U.S. rate
78% below the New York rate
down 4.3% in a year
Property crimes
6.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 43: 57% below the U.S. rate
60% below the New York rate
down 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
9.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 40: 60% below the U.S. rate
62% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across North Castle

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 17 and 64.

Map of North Castle, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5058.9%
  • 50–10041.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in North Castle is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

About the same at every time of week

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm40
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm41
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am37
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 8.1% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.1%NY -8.7%-14.9%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-4.3%NY -7.0%-2.5%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-8.6%NY -9.0%-16.4%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.5%NY -5.2%-7.1%NY -6.7%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

North Castle against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,781 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above North Castle's, and 319 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

McComb, MS12,422251
Justice, IL12,44372
Pomfret, NY12,45169
North Castle, NY12,43839

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

North Castle's major-crime index is higher than 6 and lower than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Armonk (1 mi), is 28% above North Castle's rate.

Armonk1 mi50
North Castle39
Ossining9 mi33
Thornwood4 mi31
Harrison8 mi26
Rye Brook7 mi24

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in North Castle

Is North Castle safe?

North Castle's major-crime index is 39, 61% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 61% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 76% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 57% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in North Castle?

The model expects about 84 major crimes a year in North Castle, about 6.8 per 1,000 residents, 61% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in North Castle?

Expected major crimes in North Castle are down 8.1% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.

What are the most common crimes in North Castle?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 44 a year), shoplifting (about 12 a year) and aggravated assault (about 8 a year).

Are car break-ins common in North Castle?

The model expects about 5 thefts from vehicles a year in North Castle, 85% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in North Castle?

The model expects about 6 motor vehicle thefts a year in North Castle, 69% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is North Castle safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 40 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 41 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in North Castle higher than the New York average?

North Castle's major-crime index is 39, 63% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in North Castle compare with Armonk?

Armonk, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 50, 28% above North Castle's rate per resident. North Castle's is 39.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. North Castle's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • North Castle has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,438. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in North Castle, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/north-castle

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100