CrimeMetric

Crime in Orchard Park, New York

Major crime in Orchard Park is about the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 20% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 1.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
103
about the U.S. rate
about the New York rate
up 1.2% in a year
Persons crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
78% below the New York rate
down 10.9% in a year
Property crimes
120
20% above the U.S. rate
14% above the New York rate
up 1.8% in a year
Social disorder
121
21% above the U.S. rate
16% above the New York rate
up 6.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Orchard Park

Crime by type

Vandalism and other larceny stand out most, at about 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Orchard Park for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Orchard Park

Orchard Park is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 76; the middle half of residents live where it is between 76 and 80.

Map of Orchard Park, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10080.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40019.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm93
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am117
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm101
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am104
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 1.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+1.2%NY -8.7%-14.6%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-10.9%NY -7.0%-4.7%NY -7.2%
Property crimes+1.8%NY -9.0%-15.0%NY -16.1%
Social disorder+6.8%NY -5.2%-7.8%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Orchard Park against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

370 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orchard Park; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Paxtonia, PA3,191284
Orchard Park, NY3,194103
Eldorado, IL3,190102
Athens, PA3,19256
Ranger, TX3,19749

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Orchard Park has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Blasdell (5 mi), is about Orchard Park's rate.

Cheektowaga10 mi192
Sloan9 mi125
Lackawanna6 mi115
Orchard Park103
Blasdell5 mi103
Depew11 mi87
Lancaster10 mi70
Hamburg6 mi29

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Orchard Park

What are the most common crimes in Orchard Park?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 29 a year), shoplifting (about 11 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., vandalism stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orchard Park's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Orchard Park has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,194. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orchard Park, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/orchard-park

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100