CrimeMetric

Crime in Valley Cottage, New York

Major crime in Valley Cottage is 69% below the U.S. rate per resident: 86% lower for persons crimes and 66% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 23.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
31
69% below the U.S. rate
71% below the New York rate
down 23.9% in a year
Persons crimes
15
86% below the U.S. rate
87% below the New York rate
down 22.9% in a year
Property crimes
34
66% below the U.S. rate
68% below the New York rate
down 24.0% in a year
Social disorder
26
74% below the U.S. rate
75% below the New York rate
down 20.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Valley Cottage is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Valley Cottage for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Valley Cottage

The middle half of Valley Cottage residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 19 and 35; the typical (median) resident's is 20. The citywide figure (31) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Valley Cottage, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5085.7%
  • 50–10014.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm32
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 23.9% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-23.9%NY -8.7%-10.4%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-22.9%NY -7.0%+0.7%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-24.0%NY -9.0%-11.4%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-20.8%NY -5.2%0.0%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Valley Cottage against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,886 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Valley Cottage; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Rodeo, CA9,597110
Savage, MD9,59258
Valley Cottage, NY9,59131

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Valley Cottage has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Nyack (2 mi), is 45% above Valley Cottage's rate.

Nanuet4 mi90
Nyack2 mi44
Congers2 mi39
New City3 mi38
Bardonia2 mi37
Ossining5 mi33
Valley Cottage31
Hillcrest5 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Valley Cottage

What are the most common crimes in Valley Cottage?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 27 a year), shoplifting (about 10 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 35% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Valley Cottage's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Valley Cottage has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 9,591. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Valley Cottage, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/valley-cottage

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100