CrimeMetric

Crime in Water Mill, New York

Major crime in Water Mill is 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident: 17% lower for persons crimes and 2.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
231
2.3 times the U.S. rate
2.2 times the New York rate
down 12.8% in a year
Persons crimes
83
17% below the U.S. rate
24% below the New York rate
down 3.9% in a year
Property crimes
264
2.6 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the New York rate
down 13.4% in a year
Social disorder
137
37% above the U.S. rate
32% above the New York rate
down 3.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Water Mill

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Water Mill for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Water Mill

Water Mill is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 63; the middle half of residents live where it is between 63 and 130.

Map of Water Mill, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10050.9%
  • 100–20040.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+8.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm283
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am157
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm309
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am163
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.8% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.8%NY -8.7%-12.6%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-3.9%NY -7.0%-4.8%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-13.4%NY -9.0%-13.1%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-3.7%NY -5.2%-4.9%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Water Mill against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

54 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Water Mill; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Water Mill, NY2,225231
Madison, IL2,211118
Walters, OK2,217106
Linden, TX2,21325
Polo, IL2,23919

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Water Mill has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, North Sea (3 mi), is 60% below Water Mill's rate.

Water Mill231
Hampton Bays10 mi127
East Quogue13 mi108
North Sea3 mi92
Noyack4 mi82
Southold9 mi41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Water Mill

What are the most common crimes in Water Mill?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 34 a year), shoplifting (about 34 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Water Mill's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Water Mill has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 8.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 2,225. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Water Mill, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/water-mill

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100