CrimeMetric

Crime in Dayton, Ohio

Major crime in Dayton is 3.3 times the U.S. rate per resident: 4.2 times for persons crimes and 3.1 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
325
3.3 times the U.S. rate
3.5 times the Ohio rate
up 3.2% in a year
Persons crimes
416
4.2 times the U.S. rate
5.1 times the Ohio rate
up 4.8% in a year
Property crimes
305
3.1 times the U.S. rate
3.2 times the Ohio rate
up 2.8% in a year
Social disorder
248
2.5 times the U.S. rate
2.7 times the Ohio rate
up 5.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 6.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Dayton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Murder39920
Robbery395232

Property crimes

Burglary5221,169

How crime varies across Dayton

The middle half of Dayton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 191 and 414; the typical (median) resident's is 267. The citywide figure (325) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Dayton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–509.9%
  • 50–1003.0%
  • 100–20018.1%
  • 200–40041.2%
  • 400+27.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm272
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am377
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm297
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am394
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 3.2% in a year; across Ohio it fell 7.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.2%OH -7.1%-13.5%OH -13.6%
Persons crimes+4.8%OH -7.1%-4.4%OH -3.7%
Property crimes+2.8%OH -7.1%-16.2%OH -15.6%
Social disorder+5.9%OH -6.1%-8.3%OH -7.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Ohio as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Dayton against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

1 of the 268 other places of this size has a higher major-crime index than Dayton; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Dayton, OH136,880325
Pasadena, CA136,586169
Santa Clara, CA137,528165
Hampton, VA136,934158
Torrance, CA137,227156
Warren, MI137,539117
Fullerton, CA138,043114

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Dayton has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Oakwood (3 mi), is 87% below Dayton's rate.

Dayton325
Moraine6 mi311
Trotwood6 mi195
Shiloh4 mi107
Riverside4 mi92
Kettering5 mi81
Oakwood3 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Dayton

What are the most common crimes in Dayton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 2,046 a year), motor vehicle theft (about 1,458 a year) and aggravated assault (about 1,385 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 6.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Dayton's figures add up its 140 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Dayton's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 86.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 136,880. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Dayton, Ohio." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/oh/dayton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100