CrimeMetric

Crime in Lorain, Ohio

Major crime in Lorain is 5% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.5 times for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
105
5% above the U.S. rate
14% above the Ohio rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
151
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Ohio rate
down 16.7% in a year
Property crimes
95
about the U.S. rate
about the Ohio rate
down 3.7% in a year
Social disorder
129
29% above the U.S. rate
38% above the Ohio rate
down 12.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Weapons violations stand out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lorain for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lorain

The middle half of Lorain residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 61 and 116; the typical (median) resident's is 86. The citywide figure (105) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Lorain, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–509.2%
  • 50–10051.4%
  • 100–20034.1%
  • 200–4004.0%
  • 400+1.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm95
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am114
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm100
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am122
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Ohio it fell 7.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%OH -7.1%-13.2%OH -13.6%
Persons crimes-16.7%OH -7.1%-2.2%OH -3.7%
Property crimes-3.7%OH -7.1%-17.1%OH -15.6%
Social disorder-12.0%OH -6.1%-7.5%OH -7.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Ohio as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lorain against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

213 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lorain; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Gary, IN66,911214
Skokie, IL66,374154
Lorain, OH66,567105
Oshkosh, WI66,64275
Parker, CO66,32370
Malden, MA67,00064
Marana, AZ66,73856

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lorain has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Amherst (4 mi), is 52% below Lorain's rate.

Lorain105
Oberlin11 mi86
Elyria6 mi75
Avon8 mi61
Amherst4 mi51
Westlake13 mi35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lorain

What are the most common crimes in Lorain?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 341 a year), aggravated assault (about 257 a year) and burglary (about 177 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lorain's figures add up its 53 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lorain has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 91.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 66,567. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lorain, Ohio." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/oh/lorain

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100