CrimeMetric

Crime in Astoria, Oregon

Major crime in Astoria is about the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
101
about the U.S. rate
25% below the Oregon rate
down 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
104
about the U.S. rate
7% above the Oregon rate
down 4.8% in a year
Property crimes
101
about the U.S. rate
30% below the Oregon rate
down 8.7% in a year
Social disorder
113
13% above the U.S. rate
39% above the Oregon rate
down 5.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 4.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Astoria for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Astoria

The middle half of Astoria residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 97; the typical (median) resident's is 50. The citywide figure (101) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Astoria, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5033.5%
  • 50–10043.8%
  • 100–20013.9%
  • 200–4006.0%
  • 400+2.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm125
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am72
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm112
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am87
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.0% in a year; across Oregon it fell 6.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.0%OR -6.2%-18.1%OR -15.1%
Persons crimes-4.8%OR -4.6%-6.5%OR -4.3%
Property crimes-8.7%OR -6.5%-20.7%OR -16.7%
Social disorder-5.0%OR -5.9%-9.7%OR -9.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Oregon as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Astoria against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

548 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Astoria; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Fife, WA9,960267
Havre, MT9,960226
Kennett, MO9,952182
Baxter, MN9,944101
Astoria, OR9,960101
Jesup, GA9,95085

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Astoria has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Warrenton (6 mi), is 1.8 times Astoria's rate.

Seaside14 mi257
Warrenton6 mi179
Longview, WA41 mi177
Astoria101
Kelso, WA44 mi95
Vernonia35 mi39

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Astoria

What are the most common crimes in Astoria?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 62 a year), theft from vehicle (about 41 a year) and aggravated assault (about 24 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 4.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Astoria's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Astoria has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 9,960. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Astoria, Oregon." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/or/astoria

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100