CrimeMetric

Crime in Keizer, Oregon

Major crime in Keizer is 26% above the U.S. rate per resident: 36% lower for persons crimes and 40% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
126
26% above the U.S. rate
7% below the Oregon rate
down 4.4% in a year
Persons crimes
64
36% below the U.S. rate
34% below the Oregon rate
down 3.6% in a year
Property crimes
140
40% above the U.S. rate
about the Oregon rate
down 4.5% in a year
Social disorder
61
39% below the U.S. rate
25% below the Oregon rate
down 2.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Keizer for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Keizer

The middle half of Keizer residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 122; the typical (median) resident's is 82. The citywide figure (126) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Keizer, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5035.6%
  • 50–10022.8%
  • 100–20025.6%
  • 200–40012.4%
  • 400+3.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

About the same at every time of week

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm125
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am129
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm125
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am126
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 4.4% in a year; across Oregon it fell 6.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.4%OR -6.2%-15.4%OR -15.1%
Persons crimes-3.6%OR -4.6%-4.2%OR -4.3%
Property crimes-4.5%OR -6.5%-16.5%OR -16.7%
Social disorder-2.7%OR -5.9%-10.5%OR -9.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Oregon as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Keizer against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

197 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Keizer; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Aventura, FL39,871164
Keizer, OR39,986126
Issaquah, WA40,06888
Norwich, CT40,08561
Waipahu, HI40,08359
Oviedo, FL39,91831

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Keizer has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hayesville (3 mi), is 29% below Keizer's rate.

Keizer126
Salem5 mi113
Woodburn13 mi113
Monmouth14 mi68
Silverton12 mi68

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Keizer

What are the most common crimes in Keizer?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 365 a year), other larceny (about 236 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 91 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Keizer's figures add up its 22 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Keizer's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 55.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 39,986. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Keizer, Oregon." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/or/keizer

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100