CrimeMetric

Crime in Lower Allen, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Lower Allen is 31% below the U.S. rate per resident: 82% lower for persons crimes and 20% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
69
31% below the U.S. rate
18% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
18
82% below the U.S. rate
74% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
80
20% below the U.S. rate
8% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.2% in a year
Social disorder
86
14% below the U.S. rate
about the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lower Allen for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lower Allen

The middle half of Lower Allen residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 67 and 83; the typical (median) resident's is 69.

Map of Lower Allen, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5023.5%
  • 50–10059.9%
  • 100–20016.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm62
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am78
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm68
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%PA -8.6%-11.6%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-5.5%PA -5.5%+1.2%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.2%PA -9.2%-12.2%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.0%PA -6.1%-3.0%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lower Allen against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

983 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lower Allen; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Lihue, HI7,929299
Sullivan, MO7,926219
Kenai, AK7,90875
Lower Allen, PA7,91569
Addis, LA7,90749

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lower Allen has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lemoyne (1 mi), is 14% below Lower Allen's rate.

Harrisburg3 mi140
Steelton4 mi132
Penbrook4 mi80
Lower Allen69
Lemoyne1 mi59
Enola5 mi45
Camp Hill2 mi32
Progress5 mi25

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lower Allen

What are the most common crimes in Lower Allen?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 39 a year), other larceny (about 33 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 11 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Allen's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lower Allen's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,915. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Allen, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-allen

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100