CrimeMetric

Crime in Lower Makefield, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Lower Makefield at 70% below the U.S. rate per resident: 88% lower for persons crimes and 66% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.1% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Makefield's 20 census block groups for 34,385 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Lower Makefield:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Makefield.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
5.2
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 30: 70% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 1.1% in a year
Persons crimes
0.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 12: 88% below the U.S. rate
83% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 9.5% in a year
Property crimes
4.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 34: 66% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Pennsylvania rate
about flat in a year
Social disorder
6.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 27: 73% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 3.8% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Lower Makefield

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 14 and 24.

Map of Lower Makefield, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5092.0%
  • 50–1002.1%
  • 100–2005.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Lower Makefield is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weeknights

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm28
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am34
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm30
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am29
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 1.1% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-1.1%PA -8.6%-12.7%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-9.5%PA -5.4%-1.1%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-0.3%PA -9.2%-13.6%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-3.8%PA -6.1%-6.2%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Lower Makefield against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

987 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Makefield's, and 85 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:

Englewood, CO34,456273
Tupelo, MS34,432201
Lakeside, FL34,41070
Leawood, KS34,30962
Dunedin, FL34,41748
Bixby, OK34,36935
Lower Makefield, PA34,38530

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lower Makefield's major-crime index is higher than 1 and lower than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Morrisville (4 mi), is 4.7 times Lower Makefield's rate.

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Lower Makefield

Is Lower Makefield safe?

Lower Makefield's major-crime index is 30, 70% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 74% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 88% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 66% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Lower Makefield?

The model expects about 178 major crimes a year in Lower Makefield, about 5.2 per 1,000 residents, 70% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Lower Makefield?

Expected major crimes in Lower Makefield are down 1.1% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in Lower Makefield?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 70 a year), other larceny (about 42 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 22 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Lower Makefield?

The model expects about 22 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Makefield, 76% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Lower Makefield?

The model expects about 16 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Makefield, 71% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Lower Makefield safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 34 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 30 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Lower Makefield higher than the Pennsylvania average?

Lower Makefield's major-crime index is 30, 64% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Lower Makefield compare with Morrisville?

Morrisville, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 141, 4.7 times Lower Makefield's rate per resident. Lower Makefield's is 30.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Makefield's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lower Makefield has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 34,385. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Makefield, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-makefield

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100