Crime in Lower Makefield, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lower Makefield at 70% below the U.S. rate per resident: 88% lower for persons crimes and 66% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.1% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lower Makefield. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 5.2 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.4 violent, 4.8 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lower Makefield is lower than 74% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and 84% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Makefield's 20 census block groups for 34,385 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Makefield.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lower Makefield
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 14 and 24.
- 0–5092.0%
- 50–1002.1%
- 100–2005.9%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lower Makefield
Every crime type in Lower Makefield is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 1.1% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lower Makefield against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
987 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Makefield's, and 85 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lower Makefield's major-crime index is higher than 1 and lower than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Morrisville (4 mi), is 4.7 times Lower Makefield's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lower Makefield
Is Lower Makefield safe?
Lower Makefield's major-crime index is 30, 70% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 74% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 88% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 66% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lower Makefield?
The model expects about 178 major crimes a year in Lower Makefield, about 5.2 per 1,000 residents, 70% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lower Makefield?
Expected major crimes in Lower Makefield are down 1.1% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Lower Makefield?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 70 a year), other larceny (about 42 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 22 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lower Makefield?
The model expects about 22 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Makefield, 76% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lower Makefield?
The model expects about 16 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Makefield, 71% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lower Makefield safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 34 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 30 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lower Makefield higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Lower Makefield's major-crime index is 30, 64% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lower Makefield compare with Morrisville?
Morrisville, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 141, 4.7 times Lower Makefield's rate per resident. Lower Makefield's is 30.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Makefield's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lower Makefield has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 34,385. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Makefield, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-makefield
Quote this page's aggregate figures with a link to it. Data terms
Use these numbers in your product
Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.
Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Morrisville4 mi141
- Ewing, NJ4 mi179
- Middletown Township5 mi77
- Trenton, NJ5 mi248
- Bristol Township7 mi109
- Pennington, NJ8 mi42
- Hopewell Township, NJ8 mi55
- Northampton Township8 mi18