Crime in Lower Pottsgrove, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lower Pottsgrove at 43% below the U.S. rate per resident: 58% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.4% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lower Pottsgrove. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 9.8 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.3 violent, 8.5 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lower Pottsgrove is lower than 43% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and 52% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Pottsgrove's 9 census block groups for 13,177 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Pottsgrove.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lower Pottsgrove
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 20 and 69.
- 0–5037.1%
- 50–10057.4%
- 100–2005.5%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lower Pottsgrove
Every crime type in Lower Pottsgrove is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 5.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lower Pottsgrove against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,280 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Pottsgrove's, and 367 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lower Pottsgrove's major-crime index is higher than 4 and lower than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Sanatoga (under 1 mi), is 24% below Lower Pottsgrove's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lower Pottsgrove
Is Lower Pottsgrove safe?
Lower Pottsgrove's major-crime index is 57, 43% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 43% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 58% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 40% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lower Pottsgrove?
The model expects about 129 major crimes a year in Lower Pottsgrove, about 9.8 per 1,000 residents, 43% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lower Pottsgrove?
Expected major crimes in Lower Pottsgrove are down 5.4% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Lower Pottsgrove?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 45 a year), shoplifting (about 41 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 16 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lower Pottsgrove?
The model expects about 16 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Pottsgrove, 55% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lower Pottsgrove?
The model expects about 5 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Pottsgrove, 77% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lower Pottsgrove safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 64 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 57 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lower Pottsgrove higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Lower Pottsgrove's major-crime index is 57, 32% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lower Pottsgrove compare with Sanatoga?
Sanatoga, under a mile away, has a major-crime index of 43, 24% below Lower Pottsgrove's rate per resident. Lower Pottsgrove's is 57.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Pottsgrove's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lower Pottsgrove has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 13,177. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Pottsgrove, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-pottsgrove
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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