Crime in Middletown (Dauphin County), Pennsylvania
Major crime in Middletown is 46% below the U.S. rate per resident: 43% higher for persons crimes and 66% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Aggravated assault stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Middletown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Middletown
The middle half of Middletown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 31 and 66; the typical (median) resident's is 45. The citywide figure (54) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5066.1%
- 50–10026.8%
- 100–2007.1%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 6.7% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Middletown against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,272 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middletown; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Middletown has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hummelstown (5 mi), is about Middletown's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Middletown
What are the most common crimes in Middletown?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 42 a year), other larceny (about 19 a year) and shoplifting (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middletown's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Middletown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 9,862. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middletown (Dauphin County), Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/middletown
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Hummelstown5 mi56
- Lawnton6 mi117
- Steelton6 mi132
- Elizabethtown8 mi48
- Colonial Park8 mi97
- New Cumberland8 mi41
- Penbrook8 mi80
- Progress9 mi25