Crime in Palmer, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Palmer at 36% below the U.S. rate per resident: 88% lower for persons crimes and 24% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.4% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Palmer. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 11.1 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.4 violent, 10.7 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Palmer is higher than 50% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and lower than 46% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Palmer's 14 census block groups for 22,838 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Palmer.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Palmer
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 28 and 83.
- 0–5049.5%
- 50–10042.8%
- 100–2001.9%
- 200–4005.8%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Palmer
Shoplifting stands out most, at 35% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 9.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Palmer against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,105 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Palmer's, and 363 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Palmer's major-crime index is higher than 4, lower than 3 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Palmer Heights (1 mi), is 40% below Palmer's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Palmer
Is Palmer safe?
Palmer's major-crime index is 65, 36% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 50% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 88% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 24% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Palmer?
The model expects about 253 major crimes a year in Palmer, about 11.1 per 1,000 residents, 36% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Palmer?
Expected major crimes in Palmer are down 9.4% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Palmer?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 98 a year), other larceny (about 94 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 31 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Palmer?
The model expects about 31 thefts from vehicles a year in Palmer, 49% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Palmer?
The model expects about 12 motor vehicle thefts a year in Palmer, 66% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Palmer safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 71 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 67 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Palmer higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Palmer's major-crime index is 65, 23% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Palmer compare with Palmer Heights?
Palmer Heights, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 39, 40% below Palmer's rate per resident. Palmer's is 65.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Palmer's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Palmer has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 22,838. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Palmer, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/palmer
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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