CrimeMetric

Crime in Rochester, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Rochester is 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 2.3 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
202
2.0 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.7% in a year
Persons crimes
98
about the U.S. rate
40% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
225
2.3 times the U.S. rate
2.6 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.9% in a year
Social disorder
275
2.7 times the U.S. rate
3.1 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rochester

Crime by type

Murder stands out most, at 4.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rochester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Rochester

Rochester is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 135; the middle half of residents live where it is between 93 and 457.

Map of Rochester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10042.9%
  • 100–20030.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+26.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm187
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am221
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm209
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am198
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.7%PA -8.6%-18.3%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-5.4%PA -5.5%-5.8%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.9%PA -9.2%-19.5%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.4%PA -6.1%-11.2%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rochester against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

84 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rochester; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Rochester, PA3,373202
Turley, OK3,377154
Fayette, AL3,376112
Shelby, MT3,37770
Tipton, IA3,37335

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rochester has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Beaver (1 mi), is 80% below Rochester's rate.

Rochester202
Ambridge8 mi116
Aliquippa6 mi98
Midland10 mi71
Monaca1 mi58
Beaver1 mi41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rochester

What are the most common crimes in Rochester?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 42 a year), shoplifting (about 38 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 13 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 4.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rochester's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rochester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,373. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rochester, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/rochester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100