CrimeMetric

Crime in Willow Grove, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Willow Grove is 16% above the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and 33% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 8.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
116
16% above the U.S. rate
39% above the Pennsylvania rate
up 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
39
61% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 12.4% in a year
Property crimes
133
33% above the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Pennsylvania rate
up 9.6% in a year
Social disorder
105
5% above the U.S. rate
20% above the Pennsylvania rate
about flat in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Willow Grove

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Willow Grove for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Willow Grove

The middle half of Willow Grove residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 32 and 109; the typical (median) resident's is 64. The citywide figure (116) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Willow Grove, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.6%
  • 50–10041.1%
  • 100–20022.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+8.9%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm110
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am124
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm126
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am108
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 8.0% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+8.0%PA -8.6%-15.1%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-12.4%PA -5.5%-3.3%PA -6.0%
Property crimes+9.6%PA -9.2%-15.8%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-0.8%PA -6.1%-9.2%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Willow Grove against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

498 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Willow Grove; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Shiloh, PA12,579168
Geneva, NY12,577158
Willow Grove, PA12,571116
Escanaba, MI12,56496
Woodward, OK12,55790
Freehold, NJ12,56973
Cloquet, MN12,56040
Winnetka, IL12,56229

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Willow Grove has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hatboro (2 mi), is 67% below Willow Grove's rate.

Willow Grove116
Horsham3 mi55
Ambler5 mi50
Hatboro2 mi39

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Willow Grove

What are the most common crimes in Willow Grove?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 116 a year), other larceny (about 72 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 33 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Willow Grove's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Willow Grove has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 27.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,571. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Willow Grove, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/willow-grove

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100