Crime in Lincoln, Rhode Island
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lincoln at 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 74% lower for persons crimes and 33% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lincoln. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 10.3 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.8 violent, 9.5 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lincoln is higher than 82% of the 34 other Rhode Island places and lower than 49% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lincoln's 15 census block groups for 24,110 residents. How Rhode Island residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 99.3%, summary counts only for 0.1% and no reporting agency of their own for 0.6% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lincoln.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lincoln
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 31 and 78.
- 0–5045.1%
- 50–10033.0%
- 100–20021.9%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lincoln
Shoplifting stands out most, at 23% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across Rhode Island it fell 9.5%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Rhode Island in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lincoln against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,211 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lincoln's, and 369 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lincoln's major-crime index is higher than 5, lower than 2 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Cumberland (3 mi), is 68% below Lincoln's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lincoln
Is Lincoln safe?
Lincoln's major-crime index is 60, 40% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 82% of the 34 other Rhode Island places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 74% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 33% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lincoln?
The model expects about 248 major crimes a year in Lincoln, about 10.3 per 1,000 residents, 40% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lincoln?
Expected major crimes in Lincoln are down 8.3% from a year earlier; across Rhode Island they're down 9.5%.
What are the most common crimes in Lincoln?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 94 a year), other larceny (about 70 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 31 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lincoln?
The model expects about 31 thefts from vehicles a year in Lincoln, 52% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lincoln?
The model expects about 21 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lincoln, 46% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lincoln safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 46 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 74 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lincoln higher than the Rhode Island average?
Lincoln's major-crime index is 60, within 15% of the Rhode Island rate per resident. Rhode Island as a whole is 56, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lincoln compare with Cumberland?
Cumberland, 3 miles away, has a major-crime index of 19, 68% below Lincoln's rate per resident. Lincoln's is 60.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lincoln's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lincoln has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 24,110. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lincoln, Rhode Island." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ri/lincoln
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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