CrimeMetric

Crime in Carolina Forest, South Carolina

Major crime in Carolina Forest is 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 71% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
35
65% below the U.S. rate
69% below the South Carolina rate
down 11.9% in a year
Persons crimes
30
71% below the U.S. rate
75% below the South Carolina rate
down 19.9% in a year
Property crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
68% below the South Carolina rate
down 10.3% in a year
Social disorder
42
58% below the U.S. rate
67% below the South Carolina rate
down 17.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Carolina Forest

Crime by type

Every crime type in Carolina Forest is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carolina Forest for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Carolina Forest

The middle half of Carolina Forest residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 44; the typical (median) resident's is 31.

Map of Carolina Forest, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5084.9%
  • 50–10015.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm24
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm24
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 11.9% in a year; across South Carolina it fell 7.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.9%SC -7.5%-1.2%SC -8.1%
Persons crimes-19.9%SC -5.2%+12.9%SC +4.5%
Property crimes-10.3%SC -8.1%-3.8%SC -11.0%
Social disorder-17.5%SC -7.2%+7.3%SC -1.7%

Change in expected crimes, with South Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carolina Forest against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

867 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carolina Forest; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Paramus, NJ26,791194
Belton, MO26,806105
Soledad, CA26,70364
Carolina Forest, SC26,76235
Melissa, TX26,71724

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carolina Forest has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Myrtle Beach (4 mi), is 8.9 times Carolina Forest's rate.

Conway9 mi135
Red Hill5 mi80
Socastee7 mi72
Carolina Forest35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carolina Forest

What are the most common crimes in Carolina Forest?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 54 a year), theft from vehicle (about 28 a year) and shoplifting (about 22 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 40% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carolina Forest's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carolina Forest has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 77.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 26,762. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carolina Forest, South Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/sc/carolina-forest

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100