CrimeMetric

Crime in Rapid City, South Dakota

Major crime in Rapid City is 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.1 times for persons crimes and 2.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
267
2.7 times the U.S. rate
2.9 times the South Dakota rate
up 3.9% in a year
Persons crimes
213
2.1 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the South Dakota rate
down 10.1% in a year
Property crimes
279
2.8 times the U.S. rate
3.0 times the South Dakota rate
up 6.7% in a year
Social disorder
214
2.1 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the South Dakota rate
about flat in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 5.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rapid City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Property crimes

Shoplifting5621,499
Burglary233320

How crime varies across Rapid City

The middle half of Rapid City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 84 and 256; the typical (median) resident's is 127. The citywide figure (267) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rapid City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–505.1%
  • 50–10030.0%
  • 100–20033.2%
  • 200–40011.0%
  • 400+20.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm268
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am259
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm293
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am254
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 3.9% in a year; across South Dakota it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.9%SD -7.4%-8.5%SD -7.9%
Persons crimes-10.1%SD -7.7%+3.7%SD +3.0%
Property crimes+6.7%SD -7.3%-10.5%SD -10.5%
Social disorder+0.3%SD -7.4%-1.8%SD -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with South Dakota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rapid City against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

7 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rapid City; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Rapid City, SD83,830267
Whittier, CA83,648122
Doral, FL83,53163

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rapid City has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rapid Valley (5 mi), is 84% below Rapid City's rate.

Rapid City267
Sturgis27 mi113
Box Elder11 mi93
Spearfish42 mi82

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rapid City

What are the most common crimes in Rapid City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 1,499 a year), other larceny (about 826 a year) and aggravated assault (about 403 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 5.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rapid City's figures add up its 53 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rapid City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 91.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 83,830. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rapid City, South Dakota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/sd/rapid-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100