CrimeMetric

Crime in Arlington, Tennessee

Major crime in Arlington is 47% below the U.S. rate per resident: 36% lower for persons crimes and 50% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 33.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
53
47% below the U.S. rate
46% below the Tennessee rate
down 33.6% in a year
Persons crimes
64
36% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Tennessee rate
down 16.6% in a year
Property crimes
51
50% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Tennessee rate
down 37.2% in a year
Social disorder
78
22% below the U.S. rate
40% below the Tennessee rate
down 22.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 21% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Arlington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Arlington

The middle half of Arlington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 67; the typical (median) resident's is 43. The citywide figure (53) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Arlington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5055.5%
  • 50–10028.0%
  • 100–20016.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm50
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am61
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm46
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 33.6% in a year; across Tennessee it fell 21.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-33.6%TN -21.1%-12.5%TN -9.5%
Persons crimes-16.6%TN -18.4%+0.5%TN +1.7%
Property crimes-37.2%TN -21.9%-16.1%TN -13.0%
Social disorder-22.8%TN -16.6%-3.9%TN -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Tennessee as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Arlington against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,423 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Arlington; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Rossville, MD15,909141
Uvalde, TX15,90599
Adelphi, MD15,96897
Arlington, TN15,93053
Dallas, GA15,95945

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Arlington has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lakeland (5 mi), is 12% above Arlington's rate.

Millington15 mi180
Germantown15 mi72
Somerville18 mi63
Lakeland5 mi60
Arlington53
Bartlett10 mi52
Oakland9 mi33
Atoka12 mi32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Arlington

What are the most common crimes in Arlington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 29 a year), other larceny (about 28 a year) and aggravated assault (about 27 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 21% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Arlington's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Arlington has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 92.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,930. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Arlington, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/arlington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100