CrimeMetric

Crime in Manchester, Tennessee

Major crime in Manchester is 26% above the U.S. rate per resident: 47% higher for persons crimes and 21% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
126
26% above the U.S. rate
27% above the Tennessee rate
down 7.3% in a year
Persons crimes
147
47% above the U.S. rate
12% above the Tennessee rate
down 3.8% in a year
Property crimes
121
21% above the U.S. rate
32% above the Tennessee rate
down 8.2% in a year
Social disorder
164
1.6 times the U.S. rate
27% above the Tennessee rate
down 6.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Manchester

Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Manchester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Manchester

The middle half of Manchester residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 78 and 148; the typical (median) resident's is 89. The citywide figure (126) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Manchester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10051.9%
  • 100–20028.8%
  • 200–40019.2%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm132
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am116
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm140
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am116
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.3% in a year; across Tennessee it fell 21.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.3%TN -21.1%-4.4%TN -9.5%
Persons crimes-3.8%TN -18.4%+10.1%TN +1.7%
Property crimes-8.2%TN -21.9%-8.2%TN -13.0%
Social disorder-6.0%TN -16.6%+2.6%TN -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Tennessee as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Manchester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

424 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Manchester; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Manchester, TN12,179126
Plano, IL12,19228
Piedmont, OK12,16920

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Manchester has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Tullahoma (10 mi), is 25% below Manchester's rate.

Fayetteville35 mi148
Manchester126
McMinnville23 mi120
Tullahoma10 mi95
Winchester19 mi94
Dunlap40 mi54
Smithville37 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Manchester

What are the most common crimes in Manchester?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 85 a year), other larceny (about 65 a year) and aggravated assault (about 47 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Manchester's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Manchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 51.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,179. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Manchester, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/manchester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100