CrimeMetric

Crime in Mount Carmel, Tennessee

Major crime in Mount Carmel is 73% below the U.S. rate per resident: 68% lower for persons crimes and 75% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
73% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Tennessee rate
down 9.2% in a year
Persons crimes
32
68% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Tennessee rate
down 7.4% in a year
Property crimes
25
75% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Tennessee rate
down 9.7% in a year
Social disorder
70
30% below the U.S. rate
46% below the Tennessee rate
down 8.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mount Carmel

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mount Carmel for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Mount Carmel

Mount Carmel is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 24; the middle half of residents live where it is between 23 and 32.

Map of Mount Carmel, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm27
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am27
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm26
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am26
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.2% in a year; across Tennessee it fell 21.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.2%TN -21.1%-9.7%TN -9.5%
Persons crimes-7.4%TN -18.4%+3.3%TN +1.7%
Property crimes-9.7%TN -21.9%-13.3%TN -13.0%
Social disorder-8.5%TN -16.6%-7.3%TN -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Tennessee as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mount Carmel against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,560 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mount Carmel; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Dellwood, MO4,978150
Haleiwa, HI4,976147
Fairview, NY4,977104
Mount Carmel, TN4,97927

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mount Carmel has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Church Hill (4 mi), is 7% below Mount Carmel's rate.

Kingsport7 mi120
Rogersville22 mi100
Spurgeon14 mi50
Mount Carmel27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mount Carmel

What are the most common crimes in Mount Carmel?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 10 a year), aggravated assault (about 4 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mount Carmel's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mount Carmel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,979. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mount Carmel, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/mount-carmel

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100