Crime in Bay City, Texas
Major crime in Bay City is 8% above the U.S. rate per resident: 23% higher for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol and other larceny stand out most, at about 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Bay City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Bay City
The middle half of Bay City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 55 and 154; the typical (median) resident's is 85. The citywide figure (108) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–507.2%
- 50–10061.4%
- 100–20025.2%
- 200–4004.7%
- 400+1.5%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Bay City against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
589 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bay City; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Bay City has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sweeny (16 mi), is 50% below Bay City's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Bay City
What are the most common crimes in Bay City?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 185 a year), aggravated assault (about 57 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 37 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bay City's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Bay City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 18,373. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bay City, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/bay-city
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Sweeny16 mi54
- West Columbia22 mi69
- Brazoria24 mi97
- Palacios24 mi85
- El Campo24 mi119
- Wharton25 mi89
- Lake Jackson32 mi78
- Clute34 mi114