Crime in Horseshoe Bay, Texas
Major crime in Horseshoe Bay is 53% below the U.S. rate per resident: 63% lower for persons crimes and 51% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 15% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Horseshoe Bay for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in Horseshoe Bay
Horseshoe Bay is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 35; the middle half of residents live where it is between 25 and 65.
- 0–5056.1%
- 50–10043.9%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Horseshoe Bay against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,453 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Horseshoe Bay; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Horseshoe Bay has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Granite Shoals (3 mi), is 40% below Horseshoe Bay's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Horseshoe Bay
What are the most common crimes in Horseshoe Bay?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 29 a year), burglary (about 12 a year) and aggravated assault (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 15% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Horseshoe Bay's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Horseshoe Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 6,712. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Horseshoe Bay, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/horseshoe-bay
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Granite Shoals3 mi28
- Marble Falls8 mi107
- Kingsland10 mi46
- Burnet18 mi37
- Llano23 mi48
- Lago Vista23 mi40
- Lakeway26 mi50
- Hudson Bend28 mi129