CrimeMetric

Crime in Midland, Texas

Major crime in Midland is about the U.S. rate per resident: 18% higher for persons crimes and 5% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
99
about the U.S. rate
12% below the Texas rate
down 11.1% in a year
Persons crimes
118
18% above the U.S. rate
18% above the Texas rate
up 3.2% in a year
Property crimes
95
5% below the U.S. rate
17% below the Texas rate
down 14.4% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
20% above the Texas rate
down 4.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Midland

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault and simple assault stand out most, at about 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Midland for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Midland

The middle half of Midland residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 120; the typical (median) resident's is 83. The citywide figure (99) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Midland, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5039.2%
  • 50–10029.2%
  • 100–20020.8%
  • 200–4009.6%
  • 400+1.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Lowest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm99
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am101
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm94
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am99
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 11.1% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.1%TX -9.2%-4.1%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes+3.2%TX -8.9%+9.0%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-14.4%TX -9.3%-7.8%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-4.1%TX -7.7%+3.1%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Midland against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

159 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Midland; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Springfield, MA155,024199
Rockford, IL152,361163
Mesquite, TX150,924144
Waco, TX150,092127
Pasadena, TX153,804110
Midland, TX152,61299
McAllen, TX151,85284
Palm Bay, FL151,07762
Olathe, KS153,38960

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Midland has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Odessa (17 mi), is 22% below Midland's rate.

Big Spring40 mi181
Midland99
Monahans54 mi88
Lamesa51 mi88
Odessa17 mi77
Andrews33 mi57
Seminole58 mi42
Crane45 mi36

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Midland

What are the most common crimes in Midland?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 1,025 a year), theft from vehicle (about 450 a year) and aggravated assault (about 430 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Midland's figures add up its 92 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Midland's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 55.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 152,612. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Midland, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/midland

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100