CrimeMetric

Crime in Mission Bend, Texas

Major crime in Mission Bend is 36% below the U.S. rate per resident: 18% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
64
36% below the U.S. rate
43% below the Texas rate
down 12.6% in a year
Persons crimes
82
18% below the U.S. rate
18% below the Texas rate
down 7.2% in a year
Property crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Texas rate
down 14.1% in a year
Social disorder
84
16% below the U.S. rate
21% below the Texas rate
down 10.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mission Bend

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mission Bend for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Mission Bend

The middle half of Mission Bend residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 77; the typical (median) resident's is 60.

Map of Mission Bend, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5038.0%
  • 50–10048.9%
  • 100–20011.2%
  • 200–4001.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm66
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm59
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.6% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.6%TX -9.2%+2.8%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-7.2%TX -8.9%+11.6%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-14.1%TX -9.3%+0.1%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-10.5%TX -7.7%+10.2%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mission Bend against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

579 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mission Bend; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Dover, DE40,446292
Parkland, WA40,810110
Chelsea, MA40,50099
Adelanto, CA40,68472
Mission Bend, TX40,62164
Fort Lee, NJ40,72647
Sanford, NC40,59225

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mission Bend has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Four Corners (2 mi), is 6% above Mission Bend's rate.

Stafford7 mi164
Richmond10 mi82
Mission Bend64

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mission Bend

What are the most common crimes in Mission Bend?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 129 a year), theft from vehicle (about 107 a year) and aggravated assault (about 69 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mission Bend's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Published incident records inform the estimate for neighborhoods home to 33.0% of Mission Bend's residents; elsewhere it relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 33.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 40,621. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mission Bend, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/mission-bend

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100