Crime in Prosper, Texas
Major crime in Prosper is 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 85% lower for persons crimes and 53% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.7% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Prosper is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Prosper for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Prosper
The middle half of Prosper residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 19 and 49; the typical (median) resident's is 33. The citywide figure (41) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5077.5%
- 50–10013.7%
- 100–2008.8%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 6.7% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Prosper against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
806 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Prosper; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Prosper has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Frisco (6 mi), is 19% above Prosper's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Prosper
What are the most common crimes in Prosper?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 160 a year), other larceny (about 82 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 34 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Prosper's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Prosper's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 17.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 48,079. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Prosper, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/prosper
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Frisco6 mi49
- Little Elm7 mi22
- McKinney7 mi45
- Aubrey9 mi83
- The Colony12 mi68
- Allen12 mi41
- Fairview13 mi39
- Plano13 mi69