Crime in Saginaw, Texas
Major crime in Saginaw is 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 34% lower for persons crimes and 41% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Saginaw for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Saginaw
The middle half of Saginaw residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 93; the typical (median) resident's is 54.
- 0–5047.2%
- 50–10049.2%
- 100–2003.6%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 2.5% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Saginaw against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
621 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Saginaw; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Saginaw has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lake Worth (5 mi), is 5.9 times Saginaw's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Saginaw
What are the most common crimes in Saginaw?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 114 a year), theft from vehicle (about 53 a year) and aggravated assault (about 31 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Saginaw's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Saginaw has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 31.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 26,616. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Saginaw, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/saginaw
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Lake Worth5 mi353
- River Oaks6 mi65
- Haltom City6 mi143
- Fort Worth7 mi132
- Watauga7 mi61
- Westworth Village8 mi318
- North Richland Hills9 mi97
- Richland Hills9 mi120