CrimeMetric

Crime in San Juan, Texas

Major crime in San Juan is 25% below the U.S. rate per resident: 48% lower for persons crimes and 19% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
75
25% below the U.S. rate
33% below the Texas rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
52
48% below the U.S. rate
48% below the Texas rate
down 6.0% in a year
Property crimes
81
19% below the U.S. rate
30% below the Texas rate
about flat in a year
Social disorder
103
about the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
up 1.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in San Juan

Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in San Juan for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across San Juan

The middle half of San Juan residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 92; the typical (median) resident's is 67.

Map of San Juan, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5033.1%
  • 50–10049.2%
  • 100–20012.5%
  • 200–4005.1%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm79
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am75
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm72
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am70
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 0.5% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-0.5%TX -9.2%-9.2%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-6.0%TX -8.9%+2.8%TX +2.5%
Property crimes+0.3%TX -9.3%-10.9%TX -10.7%
Social disorder+1.1%TX -7.7%-1.0%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

San Juan against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

491 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Juan; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Florence, SC38,840321
Monrovia, CA38,881141
Lewiston, ME38,87299
San Juan, TX38,88275
Calexico, CA38,85259

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

San Juan has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Alamo (2 mi), is 2.6 times San Juan's rate.

Donna6 mi327
Alamo2 mi200
McAllen6 mi84
Edinburg8 mi80
Pharr3 mi77
San Juan75
Hidalgo8 mi71
Murillo5 mi63

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in San Juan

What are the most common crimes in San Juan?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 357 a year), aggravated assault (about 47 a year) and burglary (about 44 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Juan's figures add up its 23 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • San Juan has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 38,882. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Juan, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/san-juan

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100