CrimeMetric

Crime in Dumbarton, Virginia

Major crime in Dumbarton is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 15% lower for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
160
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Virginia rate
down 4.0% in a year
Persons crimes
85
15% below the U.S. rate
33% above the Virginia rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
176
1.8 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Virginia rate
down 3.8% in a year
Social disorder
124
24% above the U.S. rate
33% above the Virginia rate
down 3.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Dumbarton

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Dumbarton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Dumbarton

The middle half of Dumbarton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 64 and 120; the typical (median) resident's is 73. The citywide figure (160) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Dumbarton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5021.8%
  • 50–10036.5%
  • 100–20024.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+17.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm172
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am147
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm169
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am144
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 4.0% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.0%VA -8.5%-12.2%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-5.5%VA -5.2%-1.3%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-3.8%VA -9.0%-13.3%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-3.2%VA -5.3%-7.8%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Dumbarton against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

224 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Dumbarton; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Barre, VT8,144234
Dumbarton, VA8,134160

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Dumbarton has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Laurel (2 mi), is 29% below Dumbarton's rate.

Richmond6 mi225
Innsbrook5 mi196
Glen Allen4 mi164
Dumbarton160
Short Pump7 mi153
Lakeside2 mi123
Laurel2 mi113
Tuckahoe4 mi77

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Dumbarton

What are the most common crimes in Dumbarton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 91 a year), other larceny (about 49 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 34 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Dumbarton's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Dumbarton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 58.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,134. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Dumbarton, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/dumbarton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100