Crime in Lynchburg, Virginia
Major crime in Lynchburg is about the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations stand out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Lynchburg for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Lynchburg
The middle half of Lynchburg residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 46 and 130; the typical (median) resident's is 67. The citywide figure (102) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5032.3%
- 50–10033.5%
- 100–20025.6%
- 200–4005.9%
- 400+2.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 12.8% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Lynchburg against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
226 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lynchburg; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Lynchburg has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Forest (5 mi), is 75% below Lynchburg's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Lynchburg
What are the most common crimes in Lynchburg?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 419 a year), shoplifting (about 250 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 246 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lynchburg's figures add up its 58 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lynchburg's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 60.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 82,021. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lynchburg, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/lynchburg
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Forest5 mi26
- Timberlake5 mi53
- Madison Heights6 mi69
- Bedford19 mi86
- Altavista20 mi148
- Buena Vista25 mi32
- Lexington30 mi41
- North Shore33 mi27