CrimeMetric

Crime in McLean, Virginia

Major crime in McLean is 55% below the U.S. rate per resident: 82% lower for persons crimes and 49% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
45
55% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Virginia rate
down 16.5% in a year
Persons crimes
18
82% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Virginia rate
down 11.2% in a year
Property crimes
52
49% below the U.S. rate
43% below the Virginia rate
down 16.9% in a year
Social disorder
43
57% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Virginia rate
down 16.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in McLean

Crime by type

Every crime type in McLean is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in McLean for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across McLean

The middle half of McLean residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 36; the typical (median) resident's is 27. The citywide figure (45) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of McLean, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5079.5%
  • 50–1009.0%
  • 100–2009.9%
  • 200–4001.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm51
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am38
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.5% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.5%VA -8.5%-13.5%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.2%VA -5.2%-5.6%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-16.9%VA -9.0%-14.1%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-16.0%VA -5.3%-5.6%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

McLean against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

490 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than McLean; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Cypress, CA50,58888
Covina, CA50,69280
Lawrence, IN50,54478
Pahrump, NV50,56061
McLean, VA50,61245

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

McLean has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Pimmit Hills (2 mi), is 11% below McLean's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in McLean

What are the most common crimes in McLean?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 136 a year), shoplifting (about 123 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 71 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 24% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. McLean's figures add up its 36 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • McLean's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 13.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 50,612. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in McLean, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/mclean

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100