Crime in Winchester, Virginia
Major crime in Winchester is 23% above the U.S. rate per resident: 27% lower for persons crimes and 35% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Winchester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Winchester
The middle half of Winchester residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 45 and 139; the typical (median) resident's is 93. The citywide figure (123) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5028.6%
- 50–10027.3%
- 100–20029.1%
- 200–40010.4%
- 400+4.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 11.2% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Winchester against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
205 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Winchester; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Winchester has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Berryville (10 mi), is 72% below Winchester's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Winchester
What are the most common crimes in Winchester?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 266 a year), other larceny (about 167 a year) and burglary (about 57 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Winchester's figures add up its 25 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Winchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 29.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 28,256. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Winchester, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/winchester
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Berryville10 mi35
- Strasburg16 mi53
- Charles Town, WV17 mi31
- Front Royal18 mi76
- Ranson, WV19 mi67
- Shannondale, WV19 mi18
- Martinsburg, WV22 mi94
- Purcellville25 mi29